allan
(Weather Master)
Tue Jan 01 2008 03:44 PM
95L

95L is actually moving into weak shear.. take a look
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.html
It's showing signs of organization to as it heads WSW towards what appears to be 5 -15 knots of wind shear which makes it favorable. Unless that pocket of shear dissapates, A record breaking Arthur is not out of the books!
I'd give it a 40 out of 100 for right now, it has blown up some light convection tightly around the COC, but it needs to get stronger convection before the people really get interested in it again.

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