We are enjoying a High pressure system off the east central coast of Florida- we have enjoyed low humidity levels this weekend- winds blowing out of the north and north-east up to 20MPH- has been unusally dry for the Memorial day weekend- it felt good. It is hard to believe we are at the doorway of another season. If a system does develop in the western carribean- than conditions need to improve to allow for growth of this system (Arthur?) . Models are just that- models and I will have no high confidence until they've run consistently within 72 hours of its 'birth'.

(Post moved to appropriate Forum. Note that the Storm Forum is for existing systems/invests and for seasonal forecasts. Inputs in the current Storm Forum thread are limited to seasonal predictions and rationale (if any).