As an aside, to whether or not 94L "should" or "should not" develop furher, I again notice this evening that latest 0Z GFS is hardly impressed with the system, as was in much earlier runs. GFDL from the 18Z does recognize 94L, albeit barely, and somewhat strengthens the systems and moves it westward under appearant low level to deep level 285 motion.

I was most impressed with how GFS sniffed out Bertha, and would be even moreso if in fact it accurately continues to have a seemingly good read on what thus far, has only proven evident of a somewhat shallow system ( despite my own thoughts to the contrary ).

Post moved to proper Forum... regarding forecast models.