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The models take 94L on a path very similar to Hurricane Emily back in 2005. She took a very "low" path and went across the Yucatan Peninsula then into Mexico just south of the US-Mexico border. Coincidently, Emily was about this time of year (mid July). I also have been noticing that the models have been gradually shifting farther and farther north. It doesn't appear that this is going to be like Dean or Felix and take a straight-line path into central America. Assuming it develops, this could be one for the Gulf Coast to keep an eye on. |