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94L not sure about tonight's upgrade... i'm just having a hard time figuringout what the upper level low ahead is going to do... and it seems to be the major factor in my book right now... we have TS force winds to the east and north of the low.... south of jamica... with the high in the atlantic helping... UPDATE: Tonights run on the 00Z pkg.. has invest for 94L.... but all models bring it to TS with the next 24hrs...SHIPS even goes up to Hurricane Forecast at the end of the run... 77kts in96hr TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0010 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL942008) 20080720 0000 UTC |