Storm Hunter
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Sun Jul 20 2008 01:18 AM
Re: Tropical Depression 3 Forms off South Carolina Coast

94L
not sure about tonight's upgrade... i'm just having a hard time figuringout what the upper level low ahead is going to do... and it seems to be the major factor in my book right now... we have TS force winds to the east and north of the low.... south of jamica... with the high in the atlantic helping...


UPDATE: Tonights run on the 00Z pkg.. has invest for 94L.... but all models bring it to TS with the next 24hrs...SHIPS even goes up to Hurricane Forecast at the end of the run... 77kts in96hr


TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0010 UTC SUN JUL 20 2008

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL942008) 20080720 0000 UTC



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