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Latest model data as of the moment shows recon coming in with some wind reports ( up to 37knots ), which would support Tropical Storm force. Of course, one need apply various factors including actual winds speeds at the surface, probably at least a net 20% less than measured. Recon looks to be close to closing off a center and latest SHIPS model forecast initiates the system at 30knots. I think we are now only within 90 minutes of a depression being made official. If so, Watches ( at minimum ) would soon be hoisted for parts of the Texas and Louisiana coastlines. |