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EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 115 PM EDT THU AUG 14 2008 COORDINATION WITH TPC RESULTED IN DIRECTING THE POSSIBLE TROPICAL SYSTEM NORTHWARD EAST OF FLORIDA...BUT AGREED WITH THE SPECIALIST THERE THAT CONFIDENCE IN EITHER THE STRENGTH OR TRACK OF THIS LOW IS QUITE LOW. THE 12Z GEM GLOBAL TAKES THE SYSTEM SOUTH OF CUBA...THEN LIFTS IT INTO THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...WHILE THE GFS TRACKS IT NORTHWARD WELL SHORT OF THE FLORIDA COAST IN A HEAVILY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. |