(Weather Master)
Fri Aug 15 2008 12:33 AM
Re: Watching the Wave Northeast of the Lesser Antilles

Erin 1995 lived all over again the middle of next week? Well the GFS thinks so on the New Oz run. Maybe alittle stronger like Jeanne. It's (to be honest) a very plausable scenerio with the trough exiting later this weekend into early next week and getting replaced by a strong ridge from Tuesday-Friday..anything under that ridge will slide W then WNW into the Gulf.

Too many things can still happen. It could get stronger earlier before 75W and catch the trough or it could even stay weaker and move closer to cuba then approach the keys and head more W across the southern gulf later next week. We will have a better idea every 12hrs and by Sunday 12z runs...we will have a very good idea on what is happening.

This is why we all love trying to forecast the evolvement of Tropcial systems and weather in general. !!

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