(Weather Watcher)

Sat Aug 16 2008 04:24 PM

Re: dvorak shmorak..Fay is on the way....

I wonder if the models sufficently take into account the effect of the high mountains of Hispanola on a disorganized tropical wave/storm. Could it kill off the northern and central parts of the low, leaving only the southern part, with it's center 90 miles south of the predicted track as the convection seems to indicate?

Putting it over water, not Cuba, and sending it into the Gulf, not Florida.

But what do I know?

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