Robert
(Weather Analyst)
Sun Aug 17 2008 05:23 PM
HMM

Hmm It looks like a depresion if you ask me. Fay is WEAK The LLCC is exposed to west of the tiny little blob of convection south of cuba she was under. Her circualtion is tight but small very small. It appears now she is getting away from jaimiaca and what was all that convection and mess south her all day yesterday and before is disapaiting breaking off and is heading south, off west of jaimiaca. The Circualtion seems to haved jogged west and is now crossing the 80th parralel in slightly more open water with the south west more open for breathing and the fact the center is more offshore of cuba, a western jog might be enough to get a better cluster of thunderstorm to fire. the only thing hindering this is that the center is pasing near a mountian with a deecent slope probally drawing cooler drier air from higher altidude being injected in the surface stream. this might be the cause for the center becoming exposed, but im not sure. I belive this evening will bring a big blow of convection over the center before moving inland over night and, well we will see what he have left in the morning.


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