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Fay got ripped apart, all the activity is NE of the center. She's got a very small window to get her act together, water vapor shows she is trying to wrap up but the squeeze play is on. Still not sure what the models were seeing yesterday that caused them to move west as the High in the Atlantic is breaking down, looks like she'll wobble or reform slightly NW of her current position then arch to the NNE. Landfall in the same area as Charley as Cat 1 is my call too. The structure is just not there (yet) for anything that strong. Plus the worst of the weather will be east over the FL Keys and Miami area regardless. |