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Most the tracks have him moving slow which would say to me he is going to be very strong by the time he gets wherever he is going. And, climo would favor an Allen sort of track though not saying he will be like Allen but more like Allen then Fay unless he suddenly climbs poleward. Really could use some model's to pull together. Rare to see a storm down there so well put together.. nothing like Fay in that. At this rate it could.. I said COULD have an eye in 12 to 18 hours tops. http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/tropical/rain/allen1980.html What bothers me with the tracks is the forecasted slow movement, he has been going at a pretty good clip. A lot to think on this storm.. like some feedback. |