The only thing we know for sure is this is going to bring a lot of rain to Haiti and D.R. in the short term. I believe NHC track is too far north. After looking at satellite trends and model data - long term - I think it's more likely for Gustav to take a more westerly track south of Cuba toward Yucatan channel and then into the Gulf. Short term, I think the TUTT to the NW will be a big player, limiting further development and organization in the upper levels. Gustav won't strengthen much for a few days yet, and may weaken some, especially as it interacts with TUTT and land to the north. This is going to be another one of those storms to keep our attention through Labor Day.