| JMII |
| (Weather Master) |
| Mon Aug 25 2008 07:08 PM |
|
Re: TD7
|
Quote:
I believe NHC track is too far north. After looking at satellite trends and model data - long term - I think it's more likely for Gustav to take a more westerly track south of Cuba toward Yucatan channel and then into the Gulf.
I agree. The NHC has shifted its track west twice already, currently Gus looks to follow in Fay's footsteps.
The Water Vapor loop shows how its being compressed by the High to the north so until that moves out of the way its going to limit development and cause the storm to slide west. Early on Gus looked to blow up with great circulation and an "eye like feature" but now it looks more like a typical tropical storm (bit ragged, not symmetrical)