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Quote: It's possible given the setup, some of the models indeed do show a stronger hurricane than is forecast by the NHC (see here). To hype it up is a different thing altogether (and we aren't going to here), but the potential is there to be something very nasty when it gets into the Gulf. However, I have no clue where it will eventually end up or what shape it will be. But has a good shot at it around 84 hours out if the track verifies, Probably around a 40% chance. Once it clears Cuba, it should be watched extremely closely and it has the potential to be a dangerous storm. Check model trends, and pay attention to the NHC forecast closely through the week. |