MikeCAdministrator
(Admin)
Tue Aug 26 2008 09:29 AM
Re: Hurricane Gustav, Strengthening, Approaches Hati

Quote:

Fox News has it going to a cat 5 in days.....

Just what we need.... early panic.

Rob




It's possible given the setup, some of the models indeed do show a stronger hurricane than is forecast by the NHC (see here).

To hype it up is a different thing altogether (and we aren't going to here), but the potential is there to be something very nasty when it gets into the Gulf. However, I have no clue where it will eventually end up or what shape it will be. But has a good shot at it around 84 hours out if the track verifies, Probably around a 40% chance.

Once it clears Cuba, it should be watched extremely closely and it has the potential to be a dangerous storm. Check model trends, and pay attention to the NHC forecast closely through the week.