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the new gfdl has Gustav heading toward the central LA coast as a cat 4.....one of the keys is how far west the storn tracks in the next 48 hours before heading northwest again.....the GFDL takes the storm to near Gitmo then due west for a day or so.....with the ridge bulding to the north, one would say a farther west track pushes the storm toward Texas...more east towards Mobile....it is all going to depend on how strong the ridges are
Can anyone explain why it has not turned more west yet?It is already off the earlier NHC forecast track.I would think that if it does not make the turn tonight,all bets are off.Wonder if it is going to ride the outer ridge of the High.This could start to get a bit tricky later tonight and tomorrow.
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Re: Cat3 30' storm surge