CDMOrlando
(Weather Hobbyist)
Wed Aug 27 2008 11:44 AM
Re: gustav looking strange on loops

MODEL DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
147 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008

VALID AUG 27/0000 UTC THRU AUG 30/1200 UTC

MODEL INITIALIZATION...

...SEE NOUS42 KWNO ADMNFD FOR STATUS OF UPPER AIR INGEST...

...TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV...
THE 00Z NAM SHOWS THE CENTRAL PRESSURE OF GUSTAV APPROXIMATELY 16 MB HIGHER AND ITS POSITION APPROXIMATELY 55 NM NORTHEAST OF OBSERVED AT 00Z. THE 00Z GFS SHOWS THE CENTRAL PRESSURE APPROXIMATELY 14 MB HIGHER THAN OBSERVED AT 00Z.


SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
1115 AM EDT WED AUG 27 2008


12Z NCEP MODEL PRODUCTION IS ON TIME...7 DROPSONDES AND 5 FLIGHT LEVEL REPORTS WERE AVAILABLE FOR 12Z GFS INGEST IN SUPPORT OF TS GUSTAV...

I would like to see the models initialize the data properly before making any plans or lack of plans.