danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Wed Aug 27 2008 10:55 PM
Re: New Orleans again?!

WTNT22 KNHC 280242
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2008

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI NORTH
OF PORT AU PRINCE IS DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI WEST OF
THE BORDER WITH THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND PORT AU PRINCE.


EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 26.0N 87.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 29.0N 89.5W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

There's that 89.5W again. 0.1degree E of Katrina's landfall point. That should be near Downtown Venice, Louisiana.

Mapped out that would be 18nm SSW of Venice,LA and 6nm NNW of the Southwest Pass of the MS River.

These are the 120 hour forecast points are errors exceed 250nm at this time~danielw



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