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The 11am EDT is out...a little stronger, and the track moved just slightly East. The forecast calls for a cat 4 by tomorrow morning after it crosses Cuba tonight. Monday morning at 7 am the forecast max wind speed is 120 KT, or 138 mph. This is supposed to be it's strongest point, so we'll see if Gus meets or exceeds that. All the forecasts are still calling for the left turn just after landfall, so we'll see if Gus holds up the 14mph speed he's got after he crosses Cuba. If he slows down earlier than thought, say within the next 12-18 hours instead of the forecast slow down in 24-36 hours, this could be trouble for Texas. |