I'm new as a poster here, but have been following the comments on this site for a few years. It's simply great.

hogrunr, I'm south of you about 50 miles in Lake Jackson. We are watching VERY closely and may be leaving as early as tomorrow. I've had my eyes glued on Cuban radar (Punta del Estes) most of the morning. The northward movement that happened over the past six hours helps our case in TX. I believe the key will be the exact path over Cuba and how it emerges in to the GOM. If the current forecast track holds, my best estimate right now is that the 72 hour "cone" will be on the eastern edge of Galveston Bay at 08:00 EDT tomorrow. If it remains that way we will likely stay put.