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Only the Ukmet has a florida hit with the GFS and Nogaps close to Jacksonville. The NHC said they will adjust the path @ 5pm. Probably a slight eastward start then following the 11am track after 48hrs. Nothing really has changed on future track reasoning except its strength. Hanna last night went into the deep convection, if she hadn't she would be further WNW closer to 74dg by now, but still she is where she is. Right now I have Hanna closer to 73W and probably 73.2W by 5pm but the NHC might be conservative and locate her @ 5pm near 72.8. Hanna is moving WSW about 5-6mph. She should sag more SW or SSW later this evening. The question then becomes does she meander or then drift W just north of Cuba on Tuesday. This along with the speed of the ridge building back in with the exiting axis trough to her north will determine how far west she gets from Weds-Sat. |