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I think she'll survive. The Space Center I heard is already preparing for contingency plans and imagine there is no reason to doubt the NHC track. They have been great all year with slowly developing storms. Fay was progged to intensify down the road and she did... same with others. So, if they feel she will find her groove I trust them. Upper level shear only lasts so long and Hanna is over some very warm water and will ride the Gulf Stream once she makes her move which needs to be remembered. It's a year for late bloomers it seems. Remember 3 people have died from high surf already this weekend as rip currents are mean and fast off of Florida from Hanna (attributed to Hanna on the local news) and that surf will pick up no matter where she goes so between boaters and swimmers and beach erosion this storm has the potential for problems even if she doesn't become more than a Cat 1 or 2. |