absolutely scott you are right, it is extremely hard to go so far out. all of us here can only go by speculation and form a general opinion or consensus. i maybe go as far as 24 - 48 hours out because my main tracking tool is that goes-e sattelite. today is a very important day in the track, that west movement really worries me. however, it is having a lot of shear and it looks weaker than last night. it was almost the size of texas last night and yesterday afternoon. so lets watch it today and see where we can all go from there.