LoisCane
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Thu Sep 04 2008 03:24 PM
Re: intensity forecasts for Ike will be a crap shoot

A wise man worries when it is necessary. When he does make that forecasted dip I think a lot of people in South Florida are going to hold their breaths collectively.

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/trop_ge_wv_ls_0.html

Looks stronger than it is and yes I know it's strong.

Hanna looks more subtropical than anything else and though her moisture is all over the place.

The trough is beginning to push away the feature that's been carving away at Hanna (look how it just dipped down and flattened the top or the moisture) and then what? Not a great scenario and need to get better at the timing issue. Ike is relentlessly moving steady west north west. Normally his lat would give me some breathing space but with the projected dip WSW... we have to wait and see.

Recon goes in tomorrow I believe.



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