JMII
(Weather Master)
Thu Sep 04 2008 10:01 PM
Re: 12Z European shows big westward shift..

Ike has been moving due west from what I can tell, he looks to be just south of the NHC's next forecast point by about the width of his inner core (eye wall diameter). As noted by others the NE quad is feeling the push already, so a WSW motion should begin as forecast, just slightly eariler. It will be interesting to see if the NHC shifts the cone slightly south to compensate. And if that's the case then UKMET & GFS are both wrong already, however this far out such a small tweaks means very little. The only good thing about such a well formed hurricane is the eye is clearly defined thus tracking any movement is much easier.


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