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To all FYI an excerpt from the HPC this morning also attached latest micro pass from around 8:27 AM EDT. IKE is actually showing very strong stucture at the surface on the North side. You can clearly make out the eye below the dense overcast. PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 441 AM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008 VALID 12Z TUE SEP 09 2008 - 12Z FRI SEP 12 2008 MAJOR HURRICANE IKE IS THE MAIN WEATHER STORY DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE WEATHER FORECAST PERIOD...WITH AN EXPECTED TRACK THROUGH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO THE SOUTHEAST AS IT MOVES THROUGH AN ANTICIPATED BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE TRACK USED WAS MODIFIED TO THE SOUTHWEST FROM CONTINUITY DUE TO DISCREPANCIES BETWEEN THE ONGOING TPC TRACK AND ONGOING MEDIUM RANGE CONTINUITY. THIS WILL BE DISCUSSED AGAIN WITH NHC AGAIN AT 16Z...IN TIME FOR THE AFTERNOON PRESSURES ISSUANCE. |