| cieldumort |
| (Moderator) |
| Fri Sep 05 2008 10:15 PM |
|
Re: Spaghetti" Model Plots for the Atlantic Basin
|
Quote:
What Spaghetti Model(s) "tools" do you follow, based on your "experience(s)", or the top 5 Spaghetti models you place your confidence in?
The short answer is none, some, all, and very few some of the time.
If you are trying to reinvent the wheel and out-forecast the NHC (we all do it!) it can be a learning experience, and fun. But if you are merely trying to make your hurricane preparedness plans around models, my advice is always DON'T! Go with the official forecasts from the NHC, your local National Weather Service, the main page here on CFHC, and some of the reputable commercial weather forecasting services only.. some of these could be your better local TV mets, and I always highly recommend TWC. When it comes to forecasting and explaining hurricanes, Dr. Lyons is pretty hard to beat.