mcgowanmc
(Weather Hobbyist)
Sun Sep 07 2008 09:25 AM
Re: intensity forecasts for Ike will be a crap shoot

[quote
Models have updated and now have four out of twelve making landfall between Panama City Beach,FL and Vermillion Bay,LA.
https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_09.gif



Now add in the "Ghost Tracks" of Edouard, Fay, and Gustav.

And the fact that NO did not get that much precip from Gustav.

That would rule out Vermillion (Please God says BR). And Panama would be a maybe.
But it's getting "late" into the season and the coriolis effect should negate the continued
"Rita" track.

I like Mobile and West though. In light of both the GFDL and HWRF models have shifted a little northward,
somewhere between PilotTown and Pascagoula. IMHO


Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center