pcola
(Storm Tracker)
Sun Sep 07 2008 09:32 AM
Re: intensity forecasts for Ike will be a crap shoot

models are still way too inconsistent for an accurate 5 day...GFS went from Cedar Key FL yesterday morning to Corpus Christi TX last night to central LA today....the changes per run are over 200 miles...we still have another day before i think an accurate Gulf path is determined