"Until the storm... any storm is north of your location there is still a slight change, or 50/ 50 chance, of the storm hitting your location."

Yeah..rule of thumb by my mother and older relatives.. until it's west of you or north of you... pay attention.

NHC doing an incredible job this year or I'd be really terrified with that big storm down there. Seriously, they have done a great job but as someone here said...things change

so ... him moving slowly doesn't thrill me even though the models are insistent