I disagree with the NCH after 72 hours with their forecast. I feel that the sharp short wave through moving across the plains will pick IKE up and move it north then northeast. The GFS and GFDL have been doing very well with IKE, why would they just throw the data out the window.

I'm still sticking to my guns and say IKE will move inland from Morgan City, LA to Mobile, AL as a strong CAT 2.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0908W_sm2+gif/025730W_sm.gif

(It is CFHC policy not to flame individuals or agencies and to recommend that site visitors always follow the advice of the NHC. You can state why you disagree with something, but a bend in a model track is hardly a good reason.)