Ike appears to be loosing a lot of strength over Cuba. The track overnight has been steadily westward at about 21.1 (+/-0.1) °. If that holds for another 7-8 hours Ike would emerge over the warm Caribbean waters on the south side. That could get interesting - same place where Gustav gained strength. If, however, the forecast track holds, Ike may degrade severely and have insufficient organization to become much of anything in the Gulf. Until it's emerges from Cuba I still believe it remain very undecided.
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Re: The NHC forecast is only good for 3 day, after 72 hrs a sharp short wave will pick IKE up