EBinTX
(Weather Watcher)
Tue Sep 09 2008 08:58 AM
Re: The NHC forecast is only good for 3 day, after 72 hrs a sharp short wave will pick IKE up

The South Florida Water Management District has a great summary of the models that includes NOGPS, HWRF and the GFS Ensemble (AEMN). From that view it looks like NHC is about middle of the envelope. The one that concerns me is UKMet - by NHC's acknowledgement it "can be quite skillful".

http://tinyurl.com/5qd7on


Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 1920x1080+ resolution.
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center.