It's interesting you said that because so far actuallly UKMET has been the most accurate one on Ike. It is the only one that had him originally dipping down so far south of Cuba and is the original one to pick this more southern route that the track is on right now. Alot of times it seems like it picks up on things that others don't at an earlier time.

Also, last night the NHC said that no Global models had picked up on the ridge coming down from the US over days 3-5 so they weren't paying attention to the Regional model that still had it in play. Well now, the UKMET ( a global model) has picked up on it, so we'll see if the pattern holds with the UKMET picking up on the features earlier than others.