hogrunr
(Weather Guru)
Tue Sep 09 2008 02:14 PM
Re: The NHC forecast is only good for 3 day, after 72 hrs a sharp short wave will pick IKE up

Well there are two different aspects to the models...the NHC seems to keep the intensity aspect and the track aspect as two seperate beasts. So alot of times they will take the track forecast from some and completely ignore it's intensity forecast.

The 12z models are out for all models at that FSU link posted above, they all have a shift northward, so all of the major models are at or north of Corpus Christi now.

As wide as this storm currently is, it will still have great affects to Houston/ Galveston even if it doesn't take a direct hit.



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