Raymond
(Weather Guru)
Tue Sep 09 2008 02:14 PM
Re: The NHC forecast is only good for 3 day, after 72 hrs a sharp short wave will pick IKE up

Now all the modells (12:00 UTC runs of GFS, GFDL, HWRF, UKMET, CMC) show the northward turn during day 4 and move Ike to the middle of the Texas coast, somewhere between Corpus Christi and Galveston. They all pick up the solution already provied by the ECMWF at 0:00 UTC. So there is really a very good agreement between the dynamical modells on this track.