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Ike's moved a bit further north (wobble perhaps?) than the earlier forecast track, which probably means a shift toward northern Texas later, but we'll see. Watching the wobbles isn't really important for huge changes, but it does impact the landfall point.
And the important thing to remember is, because of the 18z models that came out, they won't reflect this northward wobble as far as their landfall track, so the 11pm EDT NHC update probably won't either, I wouldn't doubt if the NHC track moves slightly southward at 11.
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Re: The NHC forecast is only good for 3 day, after 72 hrs a sharp short wave will pick IKE up