Ike appears right on track with the last forecast to me.

The 12:00 Z UKMET is just in and ... it moved landfall south to cross right at the point of the last HHC track forecast. With both UKMET and HWRF having moved landfall well south, this places the current forecast track on the northern edge of the the most noteworthy models, and well north of the GFS ensemble which has landfall down by Baffin Bay. It also appears that the turns are being delayed. If the short-term current track holds over the next 3+ hours, an adjustment of the track between tomorrow AM and landfall more towards Corpus Christi or even just south would be very reasonable.

It will be interesting to see where the watches go up -- should start tomorrow afternoon.