Quote:
The 12Z GFDL has shifted north with the GFS and now runs Ike over Galveston in about 60-66 hours. Before anyone freaks out about that, keep in mind that is still on the north (and fast) side of guidance. Model solutions will probably continue to bounce back and forth for awhile, given the subtle factors that will be affecting its path.
Yep - just saw that. That sure changes things. GFDL has switched sides with UKMET & HWRF. I can't wait to see what they do to with the ensemble, AEMN. The NHC track is now in the middle of the pack. Those NHC folks sure know their work.
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Re: Ike jogging back to the NW?