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All modells are in a quite good agreement about the future track and landfall area. It shoould be not far to the SW of the Houton-Galveston-area, which is of course bad new, because they would get a remarkably high surge there. The HWRF ist quite funny: All the time it had predicted a 900 hPa-monster and in the last two runs it has flipped totally to a TS-landfall! |