Lyons on TWC did a nice graphic this morning that looped the progress of the current wave south of Florida across the northern edge of the Antilles and southern Bahamas, and suggested the pattern will continue over the next week. He saw no reason to argue with the NHC forecast into the end of the period.
Intensity, there is no way to know. Small storms (Charlie and Andrew) can be very intense. But what caused them to rapidly intensify were specific factors they encountered shortly before they approached land fall. Lets stay with strong TS and hope that is correct.