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The system in the western Caribbean (97L) is needing slightly deeper convection, but otherwise seems on its way to developing. The current idea is that it will remain stationary or move very slowly at least in the initial run. It may go over Central America or stay more offshore potentially affecting the Yucatan or perhaps the Southeast. This is where you can suggest what may happen, make a guess (with some reason behind it) or otherwise discuss the models and possibilities with the system. update: at 11 AM on the 4th, it was upgraded to a Tropical Depression Update#2: at 3PM Recon showed what is very likely Ida, along with NRL updates |