Quote:
I'm starting to think that the GFS might be pretty close to correct, even though it may be just tad high on pressure; but I don't think by too much. I really am not seeing the looping back idea. I think Ida is more likely to merge with the boundary and exit in the Atlantic into a nasty noreaster' for the northern mid-Atlantic coast. Still too soon to feel that with any confidence.
The GFS has had a monster Nor'easter on a couple of runs that look like Ida's energy interacting with a lot of Baroclinic energy then getting stuck off the midatlantic coast due to blocking. There were projections of 4in of liquid precip in subfreezing areas which would be a WHOLE lot of snow should it verify for WV and Central PA
|