heavy cloud cover is wrapping around the storm. look at the size of the storm...and watch the wrapping of CDO. this storm will be huge, i think....and anyone who thinks that the NHC, or anyone else...has a wrap on this storm...is foolish. the only reason the NHC doesn't make sudden changes to their forecast, is because they are naturally conservative. It's as I said before. NONE of the models have gotten the fwd speed right. therefore, they are only human input of data. They can be amazingly accurate. But when a storm defies again and again the data...it's time to think from the gut. This thing is heading to the north gulf coast...imho

(The description of the Forecast Lounge says that 'gut' forecasts go here. )