After looking at some more information today, I've got to give some credence to the possibility of a strong Tropical Storm or Hurricane hitting Florida Friday/Saturday. Likely South Florida or the Keys, but Central Florida is a possibility too.

I wish this was a bit better developed to get a better feel in some ways, but glad it isn't.

In short odds are about evenly split between a tropical/hurricane system making landfall right now or not, which is higher than I would like for something like this.

I'd like more time for trends, but I don't like what I'm seeing so far. Recon tomorrow afternoon will help.

The good news, it's 50/50, and I'm hoping for the system to stay disorganized.

The other 50% is the upper low, if it doesn't move out of the way it'll eat the system up, and keep it from developing.