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This lounge is for the system known as 90L, currently located in the Eastern Atlantic near 30W. Long range models range from moving it due west for the most part. The lounge is for making your best guess at what a system may do either using the models or any other method. The GFS model (in total fantasy mode around 300 hours out) is suggesting a southeast impact near Florida or the Carolinas, NoGaps keeps it further south, possibly through the Caribbean. HRWF turns it more northward sooner implying out to sea as a fish spinner (This is probably the most likely outcome). None of the models can be taken seriously until... initialization (Initial model position) appears to be consistently correct, a trend verifies, and there is a real low level circulation. I don't expect development becomes a real probability until sometime early next week. |