(Weather Analyst)
Mon Aug 02 2010 04:59 PM
Re: 91L Forecast Lounge

There does not seem to be anything that will pull this radically northward for a couple of days. At that time the extent of the trough along the east coast should be clear. It does seem that the strong upper high in the SE has move westward over the past 24 hours, which has deepened the trough a bit. The feature I will watch is the ULL which is somewhat removed from TD4 to the NW and its impact on the situation. It is not a vigorous ULL like we had involving Bonnie, but its presence in a day or so along the east coast of Florida will no doubt impact the trough and perhaps strengthen its effect. That is likely why the models take the system NW-NNW in a few days. Also the strength of the system will determine the degree of poleward drift; the weaker the less that will occur. I think in two days we will be able to get a firm grasp on this.
The system following looks as if it is still partially imbedded in the ITCZ.

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center