92L is not likely to amount to much and it is indeed heading for Belize. As I mentioned in an earlier post in another thread, you can see for yourself what the models might be doing with a particular system by using the links at the very bottom of the Main Page, however, until the system shows some development, take the model output with a grain of salt. It has no chance of hitting the northern Gulf coast. Here is a link to the steering currents - note the blocking anticyclone over central Texas.

UW SSEC Steering Currents

The NHC projection seems rather sound to me.
ED