95L has a lot of model uncertainty in the future, and will probably be a difficult system to track. The trend from today is west then northeast into Florida,

What likely will make it difficult to track is the idea that it may sit in the Northwestern Caribbean waiting for something to nudge it either further westward into the Yucatan, or Northeast into Florida. Both are possible, with west more likely if the system moves faster.

If the storm stays over water there is plenty of moisture and the positive MJO to give it a real shot to become this year's sixth major hurricane.

Moving northeasterly depends on interaction with a possible cold front at that time.