ed, thanks for starting a discussion on this potential tropical system. i think matthew distracted both the models, and now that he is out of the picture floridians need to concentrate on the very real threat of a slow moving tropical system potentially rapidly intensifying under near favorable conditions as it is drawn up from the south. the timing and positioning of this system may be perfect for it to suprise everyone and undergo rapid cyclogenesis before slamming the south half of the Florida peninsula as a short-lived strong tropical storm or hurricane next week.